2021 NBA Playoffs: Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds, line, picks, Game 3 predictions from model on 99-66 roll

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The top-seeded Utah Jazz hit the road on Saturday for the first time in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Utah visits the Memphis Grizzlies for Game 3 of a best-of-seven first round series. The teams split the first two games in Salt Lake City, with Utah winning Game 2 by a final margin of 141-129. Memphis took the opener by three points as the Jazz failed to withstand the absence of Donovan Mitchell, who returned from an ankle injury in Game 2. 

Tip-off is at 9:30 p.m. ET in Memphis. William Hill Sportsbook lists Utah as a five-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 224 in the latest Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds. Before making any Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $800 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen massive returns.  

Now, the model has set its sights on Jazz vs. Grizzlies in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Jazz:

  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies spread: Jazz -5
  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies over-under: 224 points
  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies money line: Jazz -215, Grizzlies +185
  • UTAH: The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz

Why the Jazz can cover

With Mitchell back from injury, the Jazz appear to be a dominant force again. Utah scored 141 points in a Game 2 win, and the Jazz are elite on both ends of the floor. Offensively, the Jazz were a top-five team in the regular season, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession, and they led the NBA in 3-pointers with 16.7 long-range connections per game. Utah is a top-five offensive rebounding team, grabbing 28.9 percent of their own misses, and its overall shooting efficiency is staggering. On the defensive side, Utah finished No. 3 in the NBA in efficiency, giving up 107.5 points per 100 possessions. 

That came with the league’s leading mark in overall shooting efficiency allowed, landing in the top two in field goal percentage allowed (44.7 percent), 3-point percentage allowed (34.1 percent) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.4 percent). Led by Rudy Gobert, Utah is also tremendous on the defensive glass, grabbing 75.7 percent of available rebounds, and the Jazz were the No. 1 team in the league in limiting assists (22.3 per game) for their opponents.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis accomplished a reasonable goal in securing a split in Salt Lake City, and the Grizzlies are playing quite well overall. After averaging 19.1 points and 7.4 assists per game in the regular season, Ja Morant exploded for 47 points and seven assists in Game 2, almost single handedly keeping the Grizzlies in the mix. From there, Memphis has a legitimate interior option in Jonas Valanciunas, who averaged 17.1 points and 12.5 rebounds per game in the regular season, and they are excellent in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.1 percent of possessions. 

The Grizzlies round out their offensive profile by ranking No. 4 in the NBA in both offensive rebound rate (28.5 percent) and assists (26.9 per game) during regular season play. Defense has been the bigger challenge in this series, but the Grizzlies did finish the regular season as the league’s No. 7 defense, giving up 110.5 points per 100 possessions. They led the league in steals (9.1 per game) with a top-five mark in turnover creation rate (14.6 percent) and a top-10 mark in avoiding fouls (18.9 per game).

How to make Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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