2021 NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks odds, line, picks, Game 3 predictions from model on 99-66 roll

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The New York Knicks travel to visit the Atlanta Hawks in a pivotal 2021 NBA Playoffs clash on Friday. The Knicks and Hawks are tied at 1-1 in a first-round series, with the winner of Game 3 potentially seizing control. New York won Game 2 with a lights-out defensive performance, coming back from a 15-point deficit in the process. Atlanta stole a road win in Game 1 when Trae Young converted a last-second floater to break a fourth-quarter tie.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The latest Knicks vs. Hawks odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Atlanta as a 4.5-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 211. Before finalizing any Hawks vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $800 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen massive returns.  

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Hawks in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Hawks vs. Knicks:

  • Knicks vs. Hawks spread: Hawks -4.5
  • Knicks vs. Hawks over-under: 211 points
  • Knicks vs. Hawks money line: Hawks -190, Knicks +170
  • NYK: The Knicks are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • ATL: The Hawks are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks

Why the Knicks can cover

Though New York’s home-court advantage evaporated with a split in the first two games, there is plenty to be optimistic about with the Knicks. Julius Randle enjoyed a fantastic season, averaging 24.1 points, 10.2 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game, but he struggled mightily in Game 1 and the first half of Game 2. However, Randle found his footing after halftime on Wednesday, scoring 13 points and boosting New York’s overall offense as a result. The Knicks also found success with Derrick Rose carrying a massive workload at the point of attack, which is something that could continue. 

Defensively, the Knicks finished No. 4 in the NBA in overall efficiency during the regular season, and they’ve been even better in the postseason, holding Atlanta to just 1.03 points per possession. New York is also dominating the glass on both ends of the floor, neutralizing the NBA’s leading rebounder in Clint Capela and grabbing 56.5 percent of available rebounds on both ends. Finally, the Knicks held the Hawks to just 11-of-40 shooting after halftime in Game 2, reminding observers of their defensive ceiling.

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta has arguably the best player in the series in Young, and the third-year guard has been excellent. He is averaging 31.0 points and 8.5 assists per game in the series while keying the Hawks offensively. As a team, Atlanta is regularly excellent in creating and converting free throw attempts (top five in the NBA in both), and the Hawks take care of the ball well. The Hawks are committing a turnover on only 10.4 percent of possessions in the playoffs, a figure that would have led the league over the full season. 

Atlanta is also enjoying success defensively against New York, ranking No. 3 in the NBA Playoffs 2021 in shooting efficiency allowed. They are also No. 2 in free throw rate allowed and, in the regular season, the Hawks limited their opponents to only 21.1 attempts per game at the charity stripe. Atlanta is also riding a high at home, last losing at State Farm Arena on April 15.

How to make Hawks vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Hawks vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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