2021 NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Nuggets odds, line, picks, Game 1 predictions from model on 100-66 roll

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Two of the top three seeds in the Western Conference square off when the Phoenix Suns take on the visiting Denver Nuggets on Monday in the opening game of their second-round series in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. The second-seeded Suns advanced to the conference semifinals by knocking off the reigning NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers while the No. 3 seed Nuggets took out the Portland Trail Blazers in the first round, with both series going six games. Denver held a 2-1 edge in a tightly contested season series, winning twice in Phoenix, but all three of the matchups occurred during the opening month.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET from Phoenix Suns Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists Phoenix as a 4.5-point favorite, while the over-under for total points scored is 220 in the latest Nuggets vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference semifinals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. Suns:

  • Nuggets vs. Suns spread: Suns -4.5
  • Nuggets vs. Suns over-under: 220 points
  • Nuggets vs. Suns money line: Suns -190; Nuggets +170
  • DEN: Gs Will Barton (hamstring) and P.J. Dozier (adductor) were ruled out for Game 1
  • PHO: The Suns were 30-12 against Western Conference foes

Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets

Why the Nuggets can cover

Center Nikola Jokic averaged 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.3 assists during the regular season — numbers that closely mirrored his stats against the Suns in the three matchups. Considered the prohibitive favorite to win league MVP honors, he elevated his play in the series against the Trail Blazers, averaging 33.0 points, 10.5 boards and 7.3 assists. Jokic was pretty much unstoppable, scoring at least 34 points in five of the six games.

Forward Michael Porter Jr. has thrived since the season-ending injury to All-Star point guard Jamal Murray and he came up big again in the first round vs. Portland. Although he had a three-point dud in a lopsided loss in Game 4, he bounced back to score 26 points in each of the next two contests to help Denver close out the series. Aaron Gordon continues to pick up his offensive game, scoring at least 13 points in five of the six games in the first round.

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix will have a decided edge in the backcourt with the tandem of Devin Booker and point guard Chris Paul matched up against a pair of backups in Denver’s Austin Rivers and Facundo Campazzo. Booker was superb in the series versus Los Angeles, scoring 77 points in the final two games, including a 47-point masterpiece on 15-of-22 shooting that sent the Suns into the second round. In his last matchup vs. Denver. Booker poured in 31 points on Jan. 22.

Paul practiced the past two days and was not listed on the injury report after dealing with a shoulder issue in the first-round series, scoring in double figures only once vs. Los Angeles. He had a pair of 21-point games vs. Denver in the regular season while handing out 34 assists in the three matchups. Center Deandre Ayton will be counted on to defend Jokic, but he also registered double-doubles in all three matchups against the Nuggets.

How to make Nuggets vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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