Celtics vs. Hawks prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 28 best bets from model on 58-32 run

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The Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics square off in an Eastern Conference bout on Friday. Atlanta enters on a five-game winning streak, improving to 22-25 this season. Boston is 7-3 in the last 10 games, posting a 25-24 record in 2021-22. Both teams enter at close to full strength, with the Hawks reporting no injuries and the Celtics missing only Bol Bol (foot) and PJ Dozier (knee) for Friday’s game.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Atlanta. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as the two-point favorite at home, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 218.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Hawks odds. Before making any Hawks vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Hawks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Hawks vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Hawks spread: Hawks -2 
  • Celtics vs. Hawks over-under: 218.5 points 
  • Celtics vs. Hawks money line: Hawks -130, Celtics +110 
  • BOS: The Celtics are 12-10-1 against the spread in road games 
  • ATL: The Hawks are 11-12 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston’s defense is extremely potent. The Celtics are allowing only 106.4 points per 100 possessions this season, a top-five mark in the NBA. Boston is No. 2 in the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed (43.7 percent) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.0 percent), with a league-leading mark in assists allowed 21.8 per game). The Celtics also hold opponents to just 34.3 percent shooting on 3-point attempts, and Boston allows only 20.5 free-throw attempts per contest. 

From there, Boston is in the top quartile of the league in blocked shots (5.8 per game), points in the paint allowed (41.8 per game) and second-chance points allowed (12.4 per game), with a few offensive strengths as well. The Celtics are securing nearly 28 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, and Boston is No. 2 in the league converting 81.9 percent of free-throw attempts this season.

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta’s offense is elite by any description, and things have been even better for the Hawks during its five-game winning streak. The Hawks are scoring 120.5 points per 100 possessions in the last five games and out-scoring opponents by nearly 12 points per 100 possessions overall. For the season, Atlanta is No. 2 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 113.3 points per 100 possessions. The Hawks lead the NBA in turnover avoidance, committing only 12.3 giveaways per game, and Atlanta is No. 3 in the league in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.96-to-1. 

The Hawks also shoot at a high level, making 37.5 percent of 3-point attempts and 46.4 percent of field-goal attempts. Atlanta uses the free-throw line to its advantage, making 80.6 percent of 21.9 attempts per game, and the Hawks’ sometimes shaky defense should benefit from a Celtics team that has been soundly below-average on the offensive end this season.

How to make Celtics vs. Hawks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 223 combined points.. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s Hawks vs. Celtics pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Hawks spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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